Info

You are currently browsing the Life of Brian (Gambler/Trader) weblog archives for February, 2008.

February 2008
M T W T F S S
« Jan   Mar »
 123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
2526272829  

Archive for February 2008

Extra Day which way will February go

I had a nice 8/1 winner yesterday and another profitable Wilkinson day means that I am back in profit for the month. Will the girls rush up and I ask to marry me today? Not a chance but even so I am sure there will be a few lucky/unlucky men who will get that dreaded decision today.

Cheltenham is looming and the form of my portfolio systems is being to click again which is really good news. The thing about Cheltenham is that quite often it creates opportunities at the shoulder meetings. In addition because there is some much volume of betting this will create many more opportunities to nick a few quid here and there.

Things are very busy at work right now so I am really pleased with the decision to reduce the portfolio systems I am using and also the actual choice of the ones I use. There is no doubt I could be making more money from gambling but I think I have a nice balance right now. No matter what happens today it will be interesting to see how March works out.

I am really looking forward to summer when I get double the opportunities in the day to use the Wilkinson system. If you remember I started using it in anger in September so it has not been used when there are 6-7 meetings in a day. In addition I will have all sports working by then and that should increase my scope and at the same time decrease my commission.

My Portfolio Profit for the day: £1357.39

My Portfolio Profit for the month: £433.43

My Portfolio Profit for the year: £21781.63

Wilkinson profit for the day: £148.79

Wilkinson profit for the month 6 (day 12): £1199.75

Another terrific day for the Wilkinson system and a good winning day all round

Wilkinson produced another very good profit weighing in with £384.84 from just 8 selections.  I am not betting massive amounts with the Wilkinson system as some readers have suggested on the facegroup.

My strategy is very simple 1-4 points and at the “betting service industry “ standard £100 per point. Compare this to most tipsters and information services and it is pretty low as the normal now is between 1-10 points and some go much higher. Also take into consideration that I actually only every risk between 0.1 and 0.4 points plus commission. I started the system in anger 161 days ago at £10 per point and have netted a staggering profit of £12908.76. When I mean profit I mean money I can walk away with. On average I spend 10-15 minutes using the system. Bear in mind I am very used to placing internet bets and using betfair.  Newcomers will at first take longer but it soon becomes a very easy process.

The other thing that has concerned people is the fact that accounts will get restricted and closed down. I am very aware of this because anybody who sign up to arbitrage services will know that this happens very quickly. The reason it does not happen so much with my system are because to a bookmaker’s computer system it looks like you are just following a betting system. You are betting level round amounts on selections to win. I have had some accounts restricted beyond use bet365, tote and betfred but other than that I am happy. In addition I always withdraw my winnings in small chunks. Most people will agreed if you get in front by any means with these bookmakers they clamp down on your hard. I don’t need them anyway to make this system work so I am not too bothered.

I hope this addresses some people’s concerns about the mechanics of the system. You should also remember that you could make more money by doing things slightly differently but I feel this make the system more complex and then you are more prone to making mistakes. The way the system works at the moment it is pretty simple and easy to do. In addition losing days are only ever a small percentage of your bank.

Brimardon weighed in with a winning day today and I have a placed each way selection. I had one other winner and two seconds.

My Portfolio Profit for the day: £1019.34

My Portfolio Profit for the month: -£923.96

My Portfolio Profit for the year: £20424.24

Wilkinson profit for month 6 (day 11) : £1050.96

Wilkinson total profit: £12908.76

High winds and earthquakes but more of the same

I had 3 losers today including 2 second placers.  It is now odds on that February will finish as a losing month with just 3 days of racing left to turn things around.  To be honest the loss is pretty much going to be equal to that the one bad lay I did earlier in the month and that is what is going to keep it fresh in my mind.   The weather is certainly not helping things as I had a good selection at Catterick yesterday and if that had won I would be back in the profit zone.

 

Wilkinson made a small loss yesterday despite having a 6/1 winner.  I am not concerned though as it had that massive day on Saturday so things will soon level themselves out.  It is well in profit.  A lot of people have been debating the system which is great.  The biggest concern most people have is that you get your accounts restricted/closed and you have to bet big to win big.   Both of these are not really true.   On average I risk £12.70 a race.  I only backing horses £100 win which again are no big shakes with most of the bookmakers and hence my accounts don’t get restricted.  Yes I have a few accounts restricted but only bet365 and betfred have come down really hard on me.  In fact Sportingbet have actually increased my liability.

 

Below is extract from the facegroup discussion on the Wilkinson system.  The beauty about great systems is that there are simple.  Wilkinson is so simple that people don’t believe it works.  I am trying to make it as transparent as I can.  I post all my selections as soon as I have done them.   I will date/timestamp these and publish all the results soon.

 

I appreciate the comments and they are similar to what a lot of people have said recently. I will publish soon all my selections for the last 5 months and a bit months to show how I have made £12,500.

One thing I do want to make clear is that you can probably adapt what I do and make more money. The reason I don’t is because I like the consistency and relatively short losing runs with this system. I have yet to have a losing week let alone a losing month. In addition it does not take me more than 10 minutes a day.

How to I come about devising this system? I was converting a lot of new account concessions for people and I noticed a strange pattern happening that I was losing fair more money in the exchanges and winning far more with the bookies. At first I thought this was just a short-term pattern but this maintained itself for over a year.

I decided I would investigate further and realised that I was actually backing many horses at the start of so called gambles or who horses tipped up by various tipping services. At this point I initially thought I would do a variation of the Nick Shiambouros 80-20, in that I would lay 80% of my stake of at the lower price and 20% as a straight value bet.

This worked by the losing runs were not quiet to my liking so I adjusted the stakes to 10% straight back and 90% sell. Since then there has been no looking back.

The next challenge was to maintain open accounts. The reason I think I am able to maintain open accounts is because I bet in neat multiples and spread my bets amongst around 22 bookmakers. In addition I never withdraw more than £300 at a time.

I do though not have a single bet365 account or tote account left. All my Betfred accounts are very restricted and some of my other accounts are too. To be honest though there are way and means of opening more accounts I just don’t need them right now.

The reason I don’t just back 0.1 points win are for the because I want all the stake to take advantage of concessions such as best odds guaranteed, double result, free faller, no rule 5p deductions, rule 4 versus reduction factor and other special concessions.

As I have said time and time before I don’t claim to have invented the best system in the world. What I do believe is that I have stumbled across a number of techniques that can be combined together to make a winning system. This system is flexible and works on many sports. I will be releasing more finders for others sport very shortly. I want to make sure that 24*7 there are opportunities for members to make money and convert concessions. There are over £2000 worth of concessions to convert and using this technique I am confident you make more than £2000 in converting them.

 

Profit for the day: -£432.54

Profit for the month: -£1943.30

Profit for the year: £19404.90

Wilkinson profit to date: £12523.92

Another losing day

Today was a very bad day on the account with 5 losing bets. Wilkinson also weighed in with just 1 winner and a loss of £59.36 on the day. It looks as if February is going to finish as a losing month. After 3 very profitable month this is still disappointing but nothing to alarming.

The Wilkinson system is its 6th month and is still in profit and on track for a sixth consecutive winning month. I do hope at some stage in the very near future to publish all the historical results. I have them in excel so I will export to a csv and place in my database and then publish them on the website. As many of you are aware I do publish my live selections every day so you can see what I am doing. The current profit stands at £12556.46 after 5 months and 8 days (158 days).

Cheltenham is now just 2 weeks away and I expecting to make a good amount of profit at Cheltenham. They will plenty of angles to play and that is what this game is about swinging the odds in your favour.

Profit for the day: -£669.36 :(

Profit for the month: -£1510.76 :(

Profit for the year: £19837.44 :)

Well done yids

A great day personally as Spurs lift the cup.  On the football side of things I had a good day.  I got £200 refunded because Berbatov scored the last goal with Boyles.  Aston Villa won which was another Wilkinson selection.   I am not yet accounting for my football profits as I am not doing them regularly right now but I will be soon.

As for the racing 2 losers today and Wilkinson only had a very small winning day returning a profit of £7.94 :).  A couple of close calls though.

Profit the day: -£192.06

Profit for the month: -£841.40

Wilkinson Results for week 1 (Club Launch)

Day 1 16th Feb  -£264.51  (-2.6451 points)

Day 2 17th Feb -£106.69   (-1.0669 points)

Day 3 18th Feb-£105.52    (-1.05.52 points)

Day 4 19th Feb £0               (0 points)

Day 5 20th Feb £139.18      (1.3918 points)

Day 6 21st Feb -£140.69     (-1.4069 points)

Day 7 22rd Feb £88              (0.88 points)

Day 8 23rd Feb £875.8         (8.758 points)

Profit to date: £485.58 (4.8558 points)

It was a disappointing start to the public launch of the system.  After 3 losing days and one blank day the system showed its value and after 8 days is nicely in front.  I work on £100 per point.  I know other members have done better than me this week because they have been on the pc at times when I have not.   I am not aware of any members who have tried this system who are not infront after just 8 days.

Today was a record day for Wilkinson making over £800.

Results for the past for days

21st February

Profit for the day: -£345.45 :(

22rd Febraury

Profit for the day: £567 :)

23rd February

Profit for the day: -£824.20

Profit for the month: -£649.34

Technical challenges

The lack of updates are due to the fact that my primary internet is having problems and my primary pc won’t display anything.  Looks like it is the motherboard as a replacement display card and monitor have not worked either.  I hope to get a full update this evening on the events.  It was a welcome winning day yesterday which leaves in front for the month.

Wilkinson back on the money

On the day I did my first live presentation of Wilkinson system it showed once again why I do truly believe in this system.  It delivered the results.  A profit of £139.18 on the day despite there being only 2 meetings on.

Got majorly delayed by trains last night and I am at the Spurs game tonight.  So it will be Friday before I have the blog completely updated.

Back in front but only just :)

An extremely busy day at work today meant no Wilkinson bets.  I am not worried though as that is the beauty of the system you use as when you can.   On the subscription services front it was a winning day with 3 from 4 selections winning.  No big shakes but a profit is a profit and very welcome.

Profit for the day: £158.33 :)

Profit for the month: £114.03 :)