You are currently browsing the Life of Brian (Gambler/Trader) weblog archives for March, 2007.
31/03/2007 by ramps.
The trading system, SuperJo system did a marvellous 5 out of 5 today so pleased with that. The subscription systems I have had yet another bad day. Even the football went down in 5th minute of injury time.
I really appreciate all the support and comments I have been receiving. Trust me I listen to everything that has been said. You may not think I do but I really do. I am analysing the systems I have very closely.
For example one system which average a 78% strike ratio over 200 bets placed over 2 years , this year has a strike ration of 44%. I do believe that system will bounce back and very quickly. I have read numerous artciles about systems working for x amount of time and then failings. On the flip side I do know genuiene people who have made money using these systems.
My mistake as I have eluded to and hightlighted in some posts I believe it that I took on too many systems at the same time believing a portfolio approach would protect me. What I really should have done was focused more on one system and how to get the best out of it. If I had done that then I could have used the trade out value or lock in values and secured a healthy profit at this stage. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.
I will be increasing the stakes slightly with the trading software just to see if this has an effect on its success but I doubt it will.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »
31/03/2007 by ramps.
A good nights sleep was what the doctor ordered and that is exactly what I got. An interesting days sport today and hoepfully a profitable one.
I have now added the new adrian massey results to my website please stop by and have a look.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »
30/03/2007 by ramps.
Is the dream over well it could be in under a week. 8 out of last 10 maximum bets have lost and apart from 1 racing system and 2 football systems the main accounts systems are all under performing. The next result is that I have less that 25% of my bank left. What a complete turn around. This time last week I was thinking the account was recovering and I was confident of posting a profit for March. The bank is in the dangerzone and now I need a massive amount of luck to survive. I always knew this could be a risk with having so many systems but I did not do enough homework on this. If I had I would realise that most of the systems tend to have bad spells at the same time. On the flip side if the account does surivive it could recovery very very quickly.
Anyway it the weekend and there are lots of other great things to enjoy in life. Maybe I just spend the rest of the year on my trading software and save a few penny to have a real crack with the software next year.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | 6 Comments »
30/03/2007 by ramps.
Judy kindly woke me up at 4am this morning and needed an urgent walk. Lovely. She is lying on my chair so I have to be careful how I move.
As for the gambling well you can probably guess it did not go well yesterday. In fact if it had not been for my in running trade out positions it would have been the worse day of the year. It was still bad though and continue the sequence. To be honest I think the writing is on the wall. I don’t have the bank to survive all systems misfiring. I need a bit of luck and I need some to stabilise and a copule of the bit hitters to have a huge April. Unlikely but that is what I need.
It is amazing how quickly this change at the beginning of the week I thought I had a good chance of posting a profit for March. Since then 2 maximum bets have lost and a couple of big price lays has won and the account has nosedived.
It is very unnerving as systems that normally have strike ratio’s in the 80% zone are are down below 60%. In fact every system I am using is at least 10% of its normal strike ratio. I will continue to work hard on the trading whilst I pray for a return to form of these systems.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »
29/03/2007 by ramps.
My friend Dean is on holiday in Argentina so I am dog sitting the infamous Judy the dog. In fact it has been really nice to have a supporting friend in my woes. So far she has not brought me anyluck with the horses but she certainly has a calming influence when things don’t go to plan.
Another productive evening last night when I am improved the process of parsing adrian massey data and added the new adrian massey data to be ever expanding database. I also fixed the few glitches in Melchior database so I now know what the best lay off values are. Excellent. Next I will be doing the same for personal info max bets and the bet collection data. Finally I will be analysis the brimardon lay data in more detail as I believe there is a gold mine lying there.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »
28/03/2007 by ramps.
No luck today with another maximum bet going down softly. A few other sharp price movements meant some profit was missed too. Lets hope England actually put on a performance this evening.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »
28/03/2007 by ramps.
Another losing day yesterday means I need 3 strong days on the account to avoid a third successive losing month. I think for the time being I won’t even comment on my thoughts as I will wait until there is some real movement either way. The encouraging signs have disappeared and apart from the football most systems are not in good form so there quick fix around the corner by the looks of things. I know from checking historoic patterns that can change in a day but things never happen like that when you really need it do they?
Posted in BC's diary | Print | 5 Comments »
27/03/2007 by ramps.
Another days begins and yesterday bad day has given me the kick that I needed to actually work on my software on a school night. I have just made some progress this morning as well. If I can achieve one part of the many things I want to do every day or even every other day then in a copule of months I will have achieved a lot and this will put less pressure on my weekends and holidays.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »
26/03/2007 by ramps.
I knew I spoke to soon and the account took a battering today. Firstly one took the wrong course, this was shortly followed by 2 fallers with the race nearly won. Yes, I know excuses excuses. Well it has been yet another turbalent month with so many up and downs. There is still a long way to go off both the year and the bank so lets see what happens. I am strangely confident maybe denail or maybe it just the matter of numerical grouping and I think it is going to start going my way in a very big way quickly.
Nice to come home with sun out.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »
26/03/2007 by ramps.
With the clock going forward getting up this morning was extra hard but at least I should now be coming home from work in the light which will be nice. As posted in earlier posts a very frustrating day on the account yesterday. After a week of a recovery a large losing day and one that I felt annoyed about. I followed the system correctly but I did not want to as I belived the horse would win. That is the thing about system though you should never try and beat them.
Hopefully this week will be profitable and that will mean I can return a healthy profit for March which will be pleasing. I know I have to patient but it would be nice for some of this to start to be rewarded.
Posted in BC's diary | Print | No Comments »