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24/02/2006 by ramps.
I eventually sided with 2 lays today and they both cost me. Chabriminal Minister travelled well through out and new I need a fall to same me from pretty earlier on. Jacks Craic always looked like he would be beat by Without a doubt until the run in.
I did a little better on the betting side with one losing race and 2 winning races. In the first race I have Nocatee and Ironside backed them came 2rd and 3rd. Next it was Gods token who won nicely for me, followed quickly by Moorlands again ( a brave winner). Wounded but still fighting is how I sum today up.
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24/02/2006 by ramps.
Sandown is my local course so to speak unfortunately it is one of my least favourite courses from a betting angle. My system has an overall strike ratio of 26.47% which is o.k. but just don’t seem to get of the rub of the green. For some reason Novice hurdle form does work out here with a strike ratio of just 14%. You would do better with a pin trust me. Looking at the prices today I won’t be placing any win bets.
Warwick is a different kettle of fish. Overall strike ration is 36.87% but increases to 48% when the ground is soft or heavy as it is today. So hopeful the Warwick meeting will go ahead. If it does then I will be looking at 3 races in particular.
The 2.15 Novice chase, I think Chambinal Mister is opposable and therefore this mean Nocatee and Ironside become value (5.8 and 10.0 currently). The 3.25 Handicap Hurdle is on paper a contest between 3 horses according to the betting market. I think one of three Monte Cinto is opposable again and therefore the other two look good.
The 3.55 Handicap Chase is a similar story I think Native Ivy is far too short and therefore Moorlands again becomes value with probably Willie John Daly as a saver.
I won’t dwell too much as the weather may prevent racing and even if is doesn’t conditions are tricky therefore won’t be risking too much. Will be hoping just to nick a few quid.
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